Report for Model 18

— for both jointly and separately

2024-11-08

1. Joint Modeling

1.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum      1.003      1.003
## LDevsum      1.003      1.008
## dh0          1.002      1.010
## dl0          1.010      1.018
## dl1          0.999      0.999
## dl2          1.013      1.026
## dl3          0.999      0.999
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1

1.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

1.4 WAIC results

LevelH LevelL
DIC 1395.53307 22691.6689
DIC3 1262.92950 22378.4486
PWAIC 95.90693 317.4911
WAIC 1336.23275 22414.8555

2. Separate Modeling of High-Level

2.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum      1.001      1.006
## dh0          0.999      0.999
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1

2.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

2.4 WAIC results

H0b
DIC 1387.17045
DIC3 1259.57784
PWAIC 94.07183
WAIC 1331.19889

3. Separate Modeling for Low-level

3.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## LDevsum       1.01       1.06
## dl0           1.07       1.27
## dl1           1.02       1.11
## dl2           1.07       1.26
## dl3           1.02       1.09
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.05

3.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

3.4 WAIC results

L4
DIC 22309.2826
DIC3 22301.5691
PWAIC 314.3169
WAIC 22337.0302